The Fiat Fantasy portfolio was up .5% in November thanks to a strong performance by the precious metals. The S&P 500 was off -.23%. Here's a chart of Fiat Fantasy monthly returns for the past 11 months. Those down months in May - June are what prompted the formalization of the Fiat Fantasy portfolio. Simply put, I thought by working harder at this investing stuff I could stop the bleeding.
Our investment in the precious metals asset class now exceeds its upper limit. Unless something crazy happens tonight, I'll place a 2% trailing stop on SIVR sufficient to get back within bounds. If it weren't for this journal I know I wouldn't have the discipline to sell shares of SIVR just when it's rocketing to the moon and the buzz is all rosy. A real-time test of reallocating is about to unfold.
The funny thing is my brother-in-law will visit this weekend. For three years I've been chatting up gold and silver with him, but as far as I know, he hasn't taken the plunge. I'll still recommend he buy, but I'll be selling. Do I have to tell him I sold? What would GS do?

2 comments:
I don't know who GS is, but I know in my heart he would tell that poor soul that you sold!
GS is the investment bank Goldman Sachs. I don't travel in their circles but from what I read there are concerns about how they have handled conflicts of interest.
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