Wednesday, April 6, 2011

Operator Spreadsheet Error

In an earlier entry I wrote that Fiat Fantasy was up .75% in March; however, the correct number is actually 3.3%.  The spreadsheet goblin goofed me up.

I sold shares of PRPFX today to scale back our exposure.  PRPFX has been a star performer, now a victim of it's own success.  It's still a core holding.

I don't have the same warm feelings for CSJ, a short term bond fund we also lightened up on today.  After about six months, we essentially broke even on this one.  CSJ is as a good bond fund but that's not a great place to be right now.

And that's the problem isn't it?  Where's a good place to be right now.  For lack of a better idea, we hooked up again with the Brazil equity ETF EWZ.  The last time we traded EWZ it worked out great so we're looking for a repeat.  After several months of middling to slightly down performance, the emerging markets are showing some life.  Fundamentals don't interest me much, but I would note that Brazil is largely immune to oil price hikes as they grow and use so much sugarcane ethanol.  Next year GDP is expected to grow 4 - 5%.  The dividend payout is 3.8%.  After not moving much since November, we're betting on an assault of the old high near 100.  Unfortunately, we're off to a poor start as EWZ was off about 1% today.  I'd post the EWZ chart but blogger has developed a hiccup.

The end result of this maneuvering is all portfolio asset classes are within bounds except we're overweight in cash and precious metals.





    

No comments: